Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.046722 0.050798 0.054923 0.059405 0.064129 0.068954 0.074248
2025-07-06 0.041474 0.047569 0.053956 0.061119 0.068904 0.077083 0.086300
2025-07-13 0.035979 0.043372 0.051365 0.060589 0.070881 0.081954 0.094709
2025-07-20 0.032033 0.040406 0.049719 0.060737 0.073310 0.087107 0.103290
2025-07-27 0.029278 0.038476 0.048966 0.061650 0.076402 0.092863 0.112459
2025-08-03 0.027296 0.037229 0.048818 0.063099 0.079986 0.099097 0.122133
2025-08-10 0.023751 0.033810 0.045852 0.061007 0.079255 0.100223 0.125834
2025-08-17 0.021443 0.031731 0.044331 0.060486 0.080244 0.103241 0.131644
2025-08-24 0.019392 0.029817 0.042873 0.059913 0.081062 0.105975 0.137062
2025-08-31 0.018581 0.029448 0.043301 0.061630 0.084634 0.111977 0.146357
2025-09-07 0.017611 0.028791 0.043297 0.062754 0.087444 0.117053 0.154558
2025-09-14 0.016567 0.027954 0.042997 0.063450 0.089687 0.121423 0.161910
2025-09-21 0.015321 0.026784 0.042233 0.063551 0.091220 0.124996 0.168416
2025-09-28 0.014811 0.026633 0.042816 0.065408 0.094992 0.131362 0.178383
2025-10-05 0.013515 0.025245 0.041642 0.064882 0.095674 0.133872 0.183622
2025-10-12 0.012559 0.024297 0.041022 0.065051 0.097221 0.137446 0.190174
2025-10-19 0.011931 0.023807 0.041009 0.066014 0.099786 0.142298 0.198323
2025-10-26 0.011519 0.023622 0.041412 0.067535 0.103086 0.148095 0.207683
2025-11-02 0.010079 0.021689 0.039192 0.065345 0.101395 0.147477 0.208952
2025-11-09 0.009206 0.020619 0.038185 0.064800 0.101863 0.149598 0.213658
2025-11-16 0.008390 0.019581 0.037172 0.064201 0.102219 0.151549 0.218136
2025-11-23 0.008214 0.019642 0.037829 0.066000 0.105855 0.157787 0.228117
2025-11-30 0.007902 0.019438 0.038063 0.067178 0.108639 0.162923 0.236711